ความคิดเห็นที่ 175
เห็นกระทู้ข้างล่าง เขานำบทความจาก The Economist มา เห็นว่าน่าสนใจดี เพราะเป็นมุมมองของต่างชาติ ก็ขอยกมาให้อ่านกันครับ
A sinking ship: When you tear up the rule book, democracy flounders [Economist, May 4]
A sinking ship
May 4th 2006
From The Economist print edition
When you tear up the rule book, democracy flounders
THAILAND [could] sink more than 4,000 metres under the sea. Irretrievable. We would not be able to rescue it. So, on April 26th, said King Bhumibol Adulyadej, expressing his fears about the political crisis into which his country has slipped, and urging its most senior judges to come up speedily with a solution. A week later, they had not, and the ship of state was riding ever lower in the waters.
Under the constitution, Thailand should have convened a parliament within 30 days of its election on April 2nd. But that deadline has now expired, parliament has not convened and nobody knows what comes next. Thais are paying a heavy price for the opposition's dismissal of April's election result.
That election was boycotted by the opposition parties. Thaksin Shinawatra, the country's prime minister, had won two resounding previous election victories but stood accused of sins ranging from conflicts of interest through corruption to allowing police brutality. Fearing defeat in a straight fight, the opposition called on voters to mark the no vote box on ballot papers. Mr Thaksin won 61% of the vote anyway, on a 65% turnout. The People's Alliance for Democracy refused to accept the verdict and threatened to continue the protests that had gone on in central Bangkok for weeks. And so, after meeting the king, Mr Thaksin offered his resignation.
The anti-Thaksin lobby hailed this as a victory for democracy. This newspaper saw it as a blow to democracya view in which we feel fortified after receiving a critical letter from one western expat who reckoned that ill-educated and gullible Thais could not be trusted to get things right (but was quite happy to sell them insurance anyway). On one thing, however, everyone ought to agree. A country that was doing quite well has now, in the words of the king, been messed up.
None of the paths out of the mess looks very promising. The most probable outcome is that the courts will decide, on a number of possible technicalities, to annul the April 2nd vote, and order another one. That in itself will mean no parliament for a good while yet, but it also raises all sorts of questions.
For instance, will Mr Thaksin stand? Will the opposition participate fully and pledge to respect the outcome of the vote (which they should do, even though the contest might well end in another victory for Mr Thaksin's Thai Rak Thai, the party which, to the horror of the Bangkok democrats, most other Thais seem to like)? If the new election results in a number of unfilled seats in the parliament, will the legislature still be deemed inquorate, as it is now? If, on the other hand, the courts do not annul the April election, will the opposition stop playing politics with Thailand's new and fragile constitution, and run in elections for the unfilled seats, so that the legislature can get on with its job?
Mr Thaksin's enemies appear to think that none of this matters very much compared to the benefits of having levered their elected prime minister out of office, albeit by extra-democratic means. They are mistaken. However glad some Thais may be to see the back of a prime minister who had some authoritarian ways and eye-popping conflicts of interest, their country has taken a big step backwards. Once you start allowing demonstrators who number in thousands to throw out politicians who have been elected by millions, the fabric of any democracy is bound to fray, let alone one that has existed for only 14 years and still lies under the shadow of crown and gun. Difficult days lie ahead. "
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