THAKSIN’S ENEMIES’ PLANS FOR VIOLENCE

THAKSIN’S ENEMIES’ PLANS FOR VIOLENCE
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¶9. (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX believed PAD continued to aim for a violent clash that would spark a coup. He asserted that he had dined on October 6 with a leading PAD figure (NFI), who explained that PAD would provoke violence during its October 7 protest at the parliament. The unnamed PAD figure predicted (wrongly) that the Army would intervene against the
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government by the evening of October 7. XXXXXXXXXXXX asserted to us that PAD remained intent on a conflict that would generate at least two dozen deaths and make military intervention appear necessary and justified.

¶10. (C) We mentioned to XXXXXXXXXXXX the claim by THAKSIN associate XXXXXXXXXXXX that THAKSIN had been the target of an assassination plot (ref C). (Note: Subsequent to the Ambassador’s meeting with XXXXXXXXXXXX, another THAKSIN ally related the same claim, and said THAKSIN himself had spoken of this plot. End Note.) XXXXXXXXXXXX suggested XXXXXXXXXXXX’s list of conspirators -- including two prominent judges -- was not credible, but XXXXXXXXXXXX said he could confirm (presumably because of first-hand discussion with an organizing figure) that certain enemies of THAKSIN (NFI) had sought to kill him. XXXXXXXXXXXX said he had been surprised to learn that the contract on THAKSIN’s life entailed a relatively low payment of only several hundred thousand Baht (in the range of 10,000 USD), although it also entailed resettlement abroad for the person(s) directly involved.

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