ความคิดเห็นที่ 68
Sorry, I have to write in English. I don't have a thai keyboard.
It's very interesting to see that most of the people here voted #2. I was about to vote #2 myself but then I realized that the crowd can be wrong most of the time. Take the oil-peak theory for example, when most experts perdicted oil at $200/barrel last year and The Financial Times ran the whole page story about how we would run out oil in less than 30 years. That was probably the best time to sell oil, not to buy it. I sold all my energy stocks before the crash, thanks to the two old ladies whom I overheard their conversation at a supermarket about how expensive gasoline was and maybe they should buy Exxon stocks. "If you can't beat them, join them", that what they told each other. I sold all my energy stocks right after that. If I had waited a few more months I would have lost quite a bit of money. When the DOW was at 14xxx, I hardly remember anybody predicted the 50% crash, just one tiny news in Financial Times reporting about the rising of margin accounts which were used to borrow money to buy stocks. That small news turned out to be one of signals of the stock market crash.
The way I see it, and I'm not a financial expert by all means, if Q2 and Q3 results are stable or improving, people will be more likely to spend money during Xmas. If that is the case, and I certainly hope so, next year things will probably turn around. But if we have a bad Q3 and another bad Xmas (last year was already bad), I'll sell all my stocks, stay out of the market, and switch to "wait and see" mode for a while.
By the way, I really the joke in #65.
จากคุณ :
chickadee (chickadee)
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23 พ.ค. 52 04:21:41
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